On the Predictability and Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone: Nargis
Earth and Space Sciences
The unusual eastward recurvature followed by the weakening and rapid intensification of tropical cyclone Nargis is explained using the high resolution ensemble forecasts generated from Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) data assimilation system
Caption: The figure shows the equivalent potential temperature in color shadings and the horizontal wind vectors in (a). Ensemble forecast track from baseline ensemble simulation and modified horizontal temperature ensemble simulation is depicted in blue and red color, respectively in (b)
Ref: KU, J., Kutty, G., & George, B. (2020). On the predictability and dynamics of tropical cyclone: Nargis.. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(9), e2019JD032040.